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Factbox-J.P. Morgan expects gold prices to reach $6,300/oz by end of 2026

Editor February 2, 2026 2 minutes read
2026-02-02T115827Z_1_LYNXMPEM110PP_RTROPTP_4_GOLD-DEMAND-WGC-1

Feb 2 (Reuters) – J.P. Morgan expects gold prices to reach $6,300 per ounce by the end of 2026, as demand from central banks and investors continues, it said in a note on Monday. 

The brokerage now forecasts central-bank gold purchases at 800 tons in 2026, citing an ongoing, unexhausted trend of reserve diversification. 

“Even with the recent near-term volatility, we remain firmly bullishly convicted in gold over the medium-term on the back of a clean, structural, continued diversification trend that has further to run amid a still well-entrenched regime of real asset outperformance vs paper assets,” the brokerage said in a note on Monday.  

Bullion fell more than 9.8% on January 30, in its sharpest one-day drop since 1983, and extended its fall on Monday, as increased CME margin requirements added to selling pressure.

Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank on Monday reiterated its gold price forecast of $6,000 an ounce in 2026, citing sustained investor demand for the precious metal despite an adjustment in prices. 

Following is a list of analysts’ latest gold price forecasts (in $ per ounce):

Brokerag Annual Price Targets  Forecast as

e/Agency Price of

Forecas

t

  2026    

Expects prices

J.P. reaching $6,300 by 4Q26 February 2,

Morgan $6,300 2026

UBS – Raises target to $6,200 for January 29,

March, 2026

June, and September 2026

Deutsche $5,500 $6,000 in 2026 January 26,

Bank 2026

Societe – $6,000 by the end of 2026 January 26,

Generale 2026

Morgan $4,600 Bull case is $5,700 for January 23,

Stanley second half of 2026 2026

Goldman – $5,400 by December 2026 January 22,

Sachs  2026

Citi $5,000 Raises 0-3 month price January 13,

Research target to $5,000  2026

HSBC $4,587 $4,450 by year-end 2026 January 8,

2026

ANZ $4,445 $4,400 by year-end and October 16,

$4,600 by June 2026 2025

Bank of $4,438 2026 gold outlook raised to October 13,

America $5,000 2025

Standard $4,488  – October 13,

Chartere 2025

d

Commerzb $4,900 $4,800 by mid-2026 January 13,

ank 2026

*end-of-period forecasts

(Reporting by Pablo Sinha in Bengaluru; Editing by Harikrishnan Nair)

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